Establish the automatic regulatory systematic forecasting model about rapid supply of spare parts trend in carrier formation to solve the shortage of spare parts in the major surface carrier formation. Studied the rapid supply of spare parts for carrier formation with the method of system dynamics, this article built causal loop diagrams and stock and flow diagrams about every element of impacting the rapid supply rate of detachment in carrier plane and simulated on the basis of system dynamics software of Vensim PLE 5.9. The simulation results show that this model can predict the rapid supply trend of spare parts under condition of perturbation, and provide the theoretical evidence for scheduling the rapid supply method from detachment in carrier aircraft.